THE Sports & Swag Report

The College Football Pick 6 – Week 2

Week 2 of the college football season is here, and so is The College Football Pick 6 – Week 2.. Last week’s Pick 6 went 4-2, with wins from Northwestern, Notre Dame, UCLA, and BYU. The Cougars would have covered the 5.5, even without that incredible Hail Mary pass to beat Nebraska. But, it made the Pick 6 look better, since we predicted BYU straight up. The two losses came from Auburn and Arizona State. Up 31-10 early in the 4th quarter, Auburn looked like they would easily cover the 9.5 over Louisville. But, the Tigers fell asleep at the wheel and actually had to fight to hang on for the win. This week’s Premier Game is Oregon at Michigan State. We’ll roll with that game and five others. So, scroll on down for this week’s Pick 6.

*Remember: Rankings are from this week’s Sports & Swag College Football Power Rankings*

 

PREMIER GAME OF THE WEEK#1

9 Oregon at 6 Michigan State (3.5) over/under: 67

Oregon makes the return trip to East Lansing to face the Spartans. In last season’s meeting, the Ducks trailed at home 27-18, before scoring the final 28 points of the game to win 46-27. Something tells me that the Vegas odds makers are correct in going with the lower under/over of 65 for this game. The Ducks were impressive as usual offensively last week against Eastern Washington, but they were unimpressive, like they are at times, defensively (31 first downs, 549 yards total offense, 42 points). Remember, that was against a team that just replaced Ducks’ starting QB, Vernon Adams. Michigan State’s offensive philosophy is totally different from Eastern Washington, but the Spartans are much more talented across the board, and they’re led by senior quarterback Connor Cook. As I said, this game just doesn’t have the feel of being an extraordinarily high-scoring matchup. Adams, is the real deal at QB, but this is his first road test with his new squad. It’s hard for me seeing Oregon winning this game, when you factor in that the game is being played in East Lansing, the Spartans’ defense is one of the best in the nation, and the element of revenge could definitely be a factor. Take the Spartans to beat the Ducks in a bit under the total number game by 7 – 10 points.

PREMIER GAME OF THE WEEK #2

15 Oklahoma at 21 Tennessee (-1) over/under: 63

No matter the outcome this game should tell us a lot about both teams. For Oklahoma, it should tell us if Bob Stoops’ squad has recovered from a tough for Oklahoma standards, 8-5 2014 campaign. While the Vols aren’t necessarily a defensive juggernaut, this game should also go a long way in telling us if Qklahoma QB, Baker Mayfield is really the man for the job. This is his first test in a hostile environment. Trust me, hostile will not be strong enough of a word to describe the atmosphere inside Neyland Stadium on Saturday night. Vols fans have waited a long, long time for the moment that they could believe the Big Orange could not only be competitive, but had a good shot at beating a marquee program like Oklahoma. Last year, the Sooners pulled away in the second half for a 34-10 victory, in Norman. However, that was a young UT squad that had a lot of youth in the trenches on both sides of the ball. It was also before Joshua Dobbs came onto the scene. Dobbs, may only have to look up to Mississippi State’s Dak Prescott when you talk about the best Quarterbacks in the SEC. He has plenty of weapons. Jalen Hurd on the ground, Marquez North and Pig Howard through the air. Something has to give for the Vols, however. They’ve lost 27 of their last 28 games against top 25 teams. But, they’ve also won 20 straight home openers. This game has been right around a pick’em all week long, which seems about right to me. Look for the Vols to make that 21 straight home opening wins. Take the Vols to win a tight contest, right around that over/under of 63.

WRONG TEAM FAVORED GAME OF THE WEEK

20 Boise State (-2.5) at BYU  Over/under: 55

Fresh off of that miracle Hail Mary to win at Nebraska last week, the Cougars return home for a battle with the Broncos. Last season, Boise put it on the BYU 55-30. That game was on the Blue Turf. In 2013, BYU won 37-20 in Provo. The game is in Provo tonight. In most circumstances, I would look for a team that won a game in the fashion that the Cougars beat Nebraska, to have a letdown the following week. That letdown may still happen, especially early in the game. But, it shouldn’t be very hard for the Cougars to get up again for this battle. Both teams are quite physical, and there will be no love lost. There is concern with starting QB, Taysom Hill being injured and out for the season. However, it was his backup, Tanner Mangum that made the toss to Mitch Mathews to win the game. Mangum, may also be the best QB on the field. Boise State sophomore QB, Ryan Finley, was only 16-26 for 129 yards and an interception last week against Washington. It was an uninspiring 16-13 home win to open the season for the Broncos, even though it was against a PAC-12 foe, and their old coach Chris Petersen. This game will go right down to the wire, and will probably be one of the better games of the day. BYU, was good for The Pick 6 last week, so we’ll ride with them again this week. Take  BYU to cover the 2.5 and win the game Straight Up.

A BIT OFF THE RADAR GAME OF THE WEEK

Arizona (-11) at Nevada  Over/Under: 63

I still think the Wildcats will have a chance to defend their PAC-12 South title this year, even in a division with the likes of USC and UCLA. But, they’re a team that was all over the place against the spread. They’re already 0-1 against the spread this season. They came in a 32.5 point favorite over UTSA last week, and only won the game by 10, at home. They’re also missing their best defender, and one of the best defenders in the nation, in linebacker Scooby Wright, who’s lost for the season. This is also their first road test of the season. Look for Arizona to win the game, but give up some points to Nevada to keep it close. Take Nevada plus the 11 points.

Oh By the Way…

13 LSU (-4) at Mississippi State  Dak Prescott, and the Bulldogs embarrassed the Tigers in Baton Rouge last season. Look for that to turn around this time in Starkville. Take LSU to cover and get their revenge.

Kentucky at South Carolina (-7)  The Wildcats came away with a 45-38 win last season in Lexington. This one is in Columbia, but I’m still not big on Steve Spurrier and his Gamecocks. Not quite sure you can depend on Kentucky to win straight up, although it wouldn’t surprise me, but I do think they come in under the seven. Take Kentucky plus the seven.

 

Thanks for reading! See ya again next week for more of the Sports & Swag College Football Pick 6. Don’t forget to check the NFL Pick 6, as we get ready for Week 1 of NFL action. Also, remember to follow me on Twitter, Google+ community on Google+ and like Sports & Swag on Facebook .

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